In each state with positive probability there is
exactly one consumer who is fully informed; consumer i is the informed agent
in state ti.
The endowments are as follows:
!i(ti)
= ( (1, 0) if ti = bi
(0.5, 0.5) if ti = ai
For x = (x1,
x2) 2 IR2
+, the state-dependent
utility functions are as follows.
u1(x, t) = (
1.5(x1 + x2) ift = t3
x1 + x2 otherwise
u2(x, t) = (
1.5(x1 + x2) ift = t1
x1 + x2 otherwise
u3(x, t) = (
1.5(x1 + x2) ift = t2
x1 + x2 otherwise
Notice that both commodities are perfect substitutes. For an allocation x
let (x) denote the sum of
the two commodities allocated to each consumer,
i.e., i(x, t) = xi1(t)+xi2(t). It can be shown that x belongs to the incentive
compatible coarse core if and only if
(x, t1)
= (1+_1, 2−_1,
0), (x, t2)
= (0, 1+_2,
2−_2), (x, t3)
= (2−_3, 0, 1+_3)
where _1, _2,
_3 2
[0, 1/3].
The incentive compatible, coarse core contains in particular the
allocation
―x(t), where ―xi(t) = !i(t) for t
/2 T_ and
―x(t1)
= ((0.5, 0.5), (2, 0), (0, 0))
―x(t2)
= ((0, 0), (0.5, 0.5), (2, 0))
―x(t3)
= ((2, 0), (0, 0), (0.5, 0.5))
This allocation is not in the incentive compatible, fine core.10 Consumers 1
and 3 have a fine objection over the event {t1}
since 1(―x, t1)+ 3(―x, t1)
= 1,
10In fact,
it can be shown, that in this example the fine core (with or without incentive
constraints) is empty. The main difference between
this example and Wilsons (1978)
Example 2 is that in our example each agents
endowment depends on his own type.
while their aggregate endowment of the two commodities is 2. If private
information can be shared, as is implicit in the notion of the fine
core, then
clearly ―x is not viable in state t1. But, in the present
example more can be
said to justify a fine objection by agents 1 and 3. Suppose the state is
t1,
which consumer 1 knows. Consumer 3 knows that the true state is either
t1 or
t2. Consider an offer from consumer 1 to consumer 3 of the allocation
x(t), where
(x1(t), x3(t)) = (
((1.1, 0), (0.4, 0.5)) if t
= t1
((!1(t), !3(t)) otherwise
In state t1, the corresponding
net-trades are z1(t1) = (0.6,−0.5), z3(t1)
=
(−0.6, 0.5). In state t1,
the informed agent gives up 0.5 units of commodity
2 for 0.6 units of commodity 1. Note that t1 is the only state in which
her endowments permit her to make this trade. While 3 does not know
whether the true state is t1 or t2,
she does know that the informed agent
would be better off with this allocation only if the true state is t1;
if the
state is actually t2, the net-trade (0.6,−0.5) is infeasible for agent 1. The
informed agents claim, that the state is t1, is credible and should,
therefore,
be accepted by agent 3. Acceptance of this allocation requires only that
agent 3 infer (correctly) from the allocation that the state is t1,
not that 1s
private information becomes explicitly available to agent
this allocation offers a sensible objection to the status-quo. Agents
should be
able to coordinate on an event that can be inferred simply by the fact
that
all members of the coalition are willing to sign an allocation that is
to their
benefit only on the given event. In the present example, this makes it
hard
to justify the coarse core as the appropriate core notion.
We now give an example which shows that unlimited pooling of information,
which is implicit in the definition of the fine core, may not be very
appropriate under some circumstances.
Example 3.2
Consider a simpler version of Example
commodity, and each consumer has an endowment of 1 unit in each state.
The information structure is the same as in the previous example.
The state-dependent utility functions are as follows.
u1(x, t) = (
1.5x if t = t3
x otherwise
u2(x, t) = (
1.5x if t = t1
x otherwise
u3(x, t) = (
1.5x if t = t2
x otherwise
It is easy to see that the incentive compatible, coarse core contains ―x(t),
where ―xi(t) = 1 for t /2 T_, and
―x(t1)
= (1, 2, 0), ―x(t2)
= (0, 1, 2), ―x(t3)
= (2, 0, 1).
This allocation is not in the incentive compatible, fine core.12 Consumers
1 and 3 have a fine objection over the event {t1}
with an allocation x(t1)
such that x1(t1)
= 1+_ and x3(t1)
= 1 − _
for _ 2 (0, 1). In fact, every fine
objection must be of this form. But agent 3 cannot infer from this
allocation
that consumer 1 is of type a1 because consumer 1 would
prefer the net trade
_ in both states t1 and t2. Moreover, if the true state is t2, consumer 3 by
agreeing to the allocation x, and accepting 1s claim that she is of type a1,
would be worse off compared to the status-quo ―x. In this sense, the fine
objection is not credible. The same argument holds for any fine
objection to
an allocation that belongs to the coarse core. In this example,
therefore, the
coarse core seems more reasonable than the fine core.
4 The Credible Core
The essential message from the previous examples is that the pooling of
private information between members of a coalition should be permitted
if
and only if it can be justified as being credible. We now develop a
notion of
objections which incorporates this consideration.
Suppose each i in coalition S claims, independently, not to be of any type
ti /2 Ei. This type, ti,
cannot be ruled out by agent j 2 S, with her private
information, if
for some t 2 E, ti /2 Ei, q(t−i, ti) >0 (4.1)
For each i 2 S let Vi(E) _ Ti \Ei denote
the set of all ti satisfying (4.1). Of
course, if the event E is not a common knowledge event, Vi(E) 6= ; for some
i 2 S.
Our credibility criterion imposes the restriction that none of the types
in
Vi(E) should select (or pretend) to be some type in Ei.
Given an admissible event E for coalition S define for each i 2 S and
ti 2 Vi(E),
q(t−i | ti,E) =
q(t−i, ti)
Pt0
−i2E−i q(t0
−i, ti)
.
Note that this expression is well-defined given the definition of Vi(E).
For an event admissible for coalition S, we can now define for each i
2 S
and a type ti 2 Vi(E), the conditional expected utility (conditional
on E),
of an allocation x as
Ui(x | ti,E) = X
t0
−i2E−i
q(t0
−i | ti,E)ui(x(t0
−i,ti), (t0
−i, ti))
Similarly, define the conditional expected utility of x to ti 2 Vi(E) if ti
pretends to be of type si 2 Ti as
Ui(x, si | ti,E) _ X t0
−i2E−i
q(t0
−i | ti,E)ui(xi(t0
−i, si |
ti), (t0
−i, ti))
Note that this is well-defined since ti 2 Vi(E).
Suppose x 2 AN, y 2 AS and E is an admissible event for coalition S.
An allocation y is said to satisfy self-selection with respect to x over E if
Ui(y, si |
ti,E) _ Ui(x | ti,E) for all ti 2 Vi(E), si 2 Ei for
all i 2 S (SS).
This constraint can be seen as an extension of (IC) to those types who
are
not supposed to be part of the objecting coalition. Notice that, as in
(D)
and (IC), the probabilities used in computing conditional expected
utility,
are those corresponding to the event E
over which the objection is supposed
to take place. By the argument used in proving proposition 2.1, it can
be
shown that condition (SS) is equivalent to one in which this inequality
is
required to hold for all si 2 Ti,
not just all si 2 Ei.
Coalition S is said to have a credible objection to an incentive compatible
allocation x 2 AN if there exists y 2 AS and an admissible event E such that
(D), (IC) and (SS) are satisfied.
The credible core consists
of all incentive compatible allocations to which
there does not exist a credible objection.
We use Example 3.1 again to illustrate the nature of condition (SS).
Consider
again the allocation ―x(t) which we pointed
out was not in the incentive
compatible fine core. Let S = {1, 3}. Then, the event {t1}
is admissible
for S since 1 can discern
that t1 is the true state of the world. Consider
the allocation x specified there. Since 1 is the only informed agent, we need
only check that (SS) is satisfied for 1. Note that V1(t1)
= {b1}.
As we have
pointed out earlier, the net trade involved in x is not feasible for 1 when her
type is b1. Hence, x would give her a utility of −1 if she is of type b1, but
claims to be of type a1. This shows that (SS) is
satisfied, and so ―x is not in
the credible core.
Remark 1. The credible core contains
the incentive compatible, fine core,
and is contained in the incentive compatible, coarse core. The first
inclusion
follows from the observation that an incentive compatible, fine
objection is
not required to satisfy (SS). To see the second inclusion, notice that
if E is
a common knowledge event for S
then Vi(E) = ; for all i 2 S, and (SS)
is, therefore, vacuously satisfied. In example 3.1, the credible core
coincides
with the incentive compatible, fine core, and in example 3.2 it
coincides with
the incentive compatible, coarse core. In the next section we will
present
an example in which these inclusions are strict, and all three cores are
nonempty.
Remark 2. If incentive constraints,
(IC), were to be dropped from the
conditions defining the credible core, it would become identical to the
fine
core. This is so because a fine objection y
over E by coalition S is then
equivalent to one in which agent i
is assigned
t−i 2 E−i and ti 2
Vi(E).13 Indeed, if types are
verifiable as in Wilson (1978),
then the fine core becomes a more appealing concept - there is no reason
why
members of a blocking coalition cannot share all their information since
false
communication will be detected.
The basic logic underlying our notion of the credible core is related to
similar ideas used in other contexts. Most notably, it is similar to the
concept
of credible updating used by Grossman and Perry in defining a perfect
sequential equilibrium. See also the discussion of the intuitive
criterion in
Cho and Kreps (1987) and the discussion in Kahn and Mookherjee (1995)
regarding coalition proof Nash equilibrium under incomplete information.14
It is also related in spirit to the notion of durability studied by Holmstr¨om
and Myerson (1983).